>Thursday Lunch: Fantasy Football – Week 6

Posted: October 14, 2010 in nfl
Tags: ,

>By Nick Gallaudet
Week 5 was another perplexing week in the NFL. It looks like some teams just are not who we thought they were. Supposedly, good teams keep underperforming, and nobodies come out on top of the fantasy leaderboards, so here’s to a high scoring week.

Byes: Buffalo, Cincinnati, Arizona, Carolina
Top Bye-Week Replacements:
QB Matt Cassel KC, Vince Young TEN, David Garrard JAC
RB Ryan Torain WAS, Brandon Jacobs NYG, Ladell Betts NO
WR Kenny Britt WR, Louis Murphy OAK, Dexter McCluster KC
WR Danny Amendola STL: With #1 WR Mark Clayton out for the season, look for Amendola to step into the top pass catching role.
WR Deion Branch NE: Reunited with Tom Brady, look for Branch to attempt to fill Moss’ shoes. I don’t think he’ll put up huge numbers, but they’ll definitely be better than what he did in Seattle
Seattle: Fresh off a bye week, the Seahawks face a tough test. Newly minted RB Marshawn Lynch has had a week to get used to the team, but don’t look for much production from him or RB Justin Forsett this week against a very good Chicago run defense. QB Matt Hasselbeck is going to have to provide the offense this week for the Seahawks, but away from home, I don’t see much production through the air either. If you feel like taking a chance, or need one last desperation bye week replacement, take a chance on Deon Butler, but other than that, I don’t think there is much to be had with the Seattle offense.
Start: None
Sit: RB Lynch, RB Forsett
Chicago: QB Jay Cutler looks like he’ll return this week, and I expect WR Johnny Knox to be very happy. Last week was the Matt Forte show for about three drives, and then the Bears realized Todd Collins was their QB and promptly stalled on offense. I expect a lot of points to be put up through the air by the Bears, especially since Seattle has a pretty good run defense.
Start: QB Cutler, WR Knox
Sit: WR Devin Aromashodu
Miami: The Green Bay defense has been obliterated by injuries, and that bodes well for Miami’s offense, right? Not so fast, Green Bay does give up a good amount of yardage, but they don’t let their opponent in the end zone too often. I think RBs Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams will continue to put up mediocre numbers, and WR Brandon Marshall will have a decent game, but other than that, I think this could be a low scoring affair.
Start: WR Marshall
Sit: QB Chad Henne
Green Bay: QB Aaron Rodgers is currently questionable, and losing him would be a big blow to a reeling Packers team. If he plays he’s a must-start, but that’s about it. Without a substantial running game, the Packers’ balance has been lost and production has been down. TE Jermichael Finley is out for the season and TE Donald Lee is also banged up. Rodger’s weapons aren’t there, but WR James Jones did catch a lot of passes last week, and is someone to have on your radar as a bye week replacement.
Start: QB Rodgers (if healthy)
Sit: RB Brandon Jackson, RB John Kuhn
San Diego: After an embarrassing loss to the Raiders, San Diego has something to prove, and they couldn’t have drawn a better opponent. The Rams got spanked by the Lions last week and the Chargers look to do the same. QB Phillip Rivers has developed quite the chemistry with WR Malcom Floyd and that combo should have another good week. TE Antonio Gates should be started also, since all he does is catch TDs. The running back situation is a little stickier. RB Mike Tolbert tallied a score last week, but was ineffective otherwise, but RB Ryan Mathews is still bothered by a sore ankle. I think Tolbert will have a better day, but I think the majority of the points will be scored through the air this week.
Start: QB Rivers, WR Floyd, TE Gates, K Nate Kaeding, SD Def
Sit: RB Mathews
St. Louis: Ugly is the only word that can describe the Rams’ performance last week. QB Sam Bradford also lost top-target WR Mark Clayton for the season, so look for production to stay down. RB Steven Jackson has had trouble reaching the end zone, rendering him somewhat ineffective as a fantasy back. Personally, I think kicker Josh Brown will the Ram to have the most impact as far as the scoreboard is concerned this week.
Start: K Brown
Sit: QB Bradford
Baltimore: RB Ray Rice finally showed up for the 2010 NFL season last week. Baltimore put up 31 points last week, and the trend should continue against a porous Patriot defense. Rice won’t do what he did last week, but it should be serviceable and I think QB Joe Flacco can make WR Anquan Boldin a factor again this week.
Start: RB Rice, WR Boldin
Sit: RB McGahee
New England: Fresh off a bye, and without WR Randy Moss, the Patriots will look to prove that they don’t need him. I expect Brady to pass on the Ravens’ defense like Kyle Orton did the week before. WR Wes Welker will get his catches, and I think WR Brandon Tate will be the new deep threat, and could haul in a long TD this week. As far as the running game, don’t worry about it this week against the Ravens.
Start: QB Brady, WR Welker
Sit: RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis
New Orleans: This is the team that won the Super Bowl last year? QB Drew Brees looks human, they don’t have a running game, and supposedly top WR Marques Colston has as many TDs as I do this year. New Orleans simply has not played well this year, but I can’t tell you to sit Brees just because he is capable of putting up 5 TDs. I do like the fact that Colston has been a little more involved in the offense, but I just don’t trust that he’ll get the points right now. RB Ladell Betts looks to be the starting running back again this week and is a good bye week replacement.
Start: QB Brees
Sit: RB Pierre Thomas, RB Chris Ivory
Tampa Bay: I always like QB Josh Freeman, but he’s really impressed me this year. He hasn’t quite reached elite fantasy QB status, but he’s made WR Mike Williams a viable threat. The Tampa Bay running game is a different story. There are three guys getting legitimate action and none of them are worth starting at this point.
Start: WR Williams
Sit: RB Cadillac Williams, RB Ernest Graham
Detroit: Coming off a 44-6 throttling of the Rams, the Lions finally have something to cheer about. QB Matt Stafford may come back this week, but don’t count on it. That means QB Shaun Hill will be at the helm again, and despite good numbers last week, the Giants pass defense has really stepped it up the last couple weeks. I think the Giants will be all over Hill and render him ineffective this week, which is not a good sign for WR Calvin Johnson. As for the running game, the Giants haven’t allowed much there either, and with RB Jahvid Best not at 100%, this game does not look good for the Lions.
Start: TE Brandon Pettigrew
Sit: QB Hill, RB Best
NY Giants: QB Eli Manning has thrown a good number of TDs this year, but he’s also been prone to interceptions. If your league penalizes INTs, I’d be a little more careful with Manning, but if not, he is a great start this week. WR Hakeem Nicks put up huge numbers last week (it helped that Houston decided not to cover him) and he should do the same this week, while WRs Steve Smith and Mario Manningham see their production decrease. I also like both running backs in this game, although Ahmad Bradshaw’s added yardage makes him a little more valuable.
Start: QB Manning, RB Bradshaw, WR Nicks
Sit: WR Manningham
Atlanta: Philadelphia got “torched” by Alex Smith last week (numbers-wise, but we all know Smith is terrible). QB Matt Ryan should have a good game against a mediocre Philly defense and WR Roddy White will be the main beneficiary. RB Michael Turner will put up decent numbers against the bottom of the pack run defense, however, Philly did bottle up Frank Gore last week, but they were also playing from behind the whole game.
Start: QB Ryan, RB Turner, WR White
Sit: WR Harry Douglas
Philadelphia: QB Kevin Kolb actually threw a ball or two downfield last week, but I don’t think he’ll be able to do as well this week. Atlanta has a pretty good defense and I don’t think Kolb is quite good enough to have a good game. Unfortunately, WRs DeSean Jackson and Jeremy Maclin will suffer, but I do think TE Brent Celek and RB LeSean McCoy can put up decent totals.
Start: RB McCoy, TE Celek
Sit: QB Kolb, WR Maclin, WR Jackson
Cleveland: QB Colt McCoy could be making his first career start. On the road. At Pittsburgh. Stay away from anything to do with the Browns this week. Even RB Peyton Hillis. Just don’t.
Start: I said no.
Sit: Everyone
Pittsburgh: What are we supposed to make of QB Ben Roethlisberger’s return? I think he will use WR Hines Ward a lot because of the comfort factor, and they’ll probably run the ball with RB Rashard Mendenhall, but know this: Cleveland is the only team that hasn’t allowed a rushing TD this season.
Start: WR Ward
Sit: WR Mike Wallace
Kansas City: The Chiefs’ offense was not able to muster much against the banged up and underachieving Colts defense last week. Houston has also been pretty stout against the run, but they do allow a lot of rushing TDs. They are dead last in passing defense however, and even though I don’t have a whole lot of faith in QB Matt Cassel, I have even less faith in the Texans’ passing defense, so I would start Cassel and WRs Dwayne Bowe and Dexter McCluster, as well as rookie TE Tony Moeaki.
Start: QB Cassel, WR Bowe, WR McCluster, TE Moeaki, K Ryan Succop
Sit: RB Thomas Jones

Houston: QB Matt Schaub and WR Andre Johnson are just a couple notches below Ryan Grant and Brett Favre on the fantasy bust totem pole this season. They have had completely underwhelming performances this season, partly due to Johnson’s bum ankle. I don’t know when they are going to snap out of it, hopefully it’s this week, but the Chiefs did do a decent job of slowing down the Colts passing attack last week. I expect RB Arian Foster to produce and take some of the pressure off Schaub, but I don’t think it’ll be enough to jump start the passing game this week.
Start: RB Foster
Sit: WR Kevin Walter
Oakland: QB Bruce Gradkowski left Sunday’s game with an injured shoulder, but Coach Tom Cable made it clear that if Gradkowski is healthy, he will start, despite QB Jason Campbell’s good performance last week. If Gradkowski is in, that is good news for WR Louis Murphy, since he benefits most from Gradkowski being in there. RB Darren McFadden may miss his 2nd straight game, and if he does, look for RB Michael Bush to continue to produce like he did last week. I really like Bush, even against a decent SF defense.
Start: RB Bush, WR Murphy
Sit: WR Darrius Heyward-Bey
San Francisco: QB Alex Smith will not make it through this game. WR Michael Crabtree had a good week last week, but look for him to be shut down by the tough Raiders passing defense. Smith is a terrible quarterback and it’s a miracle he made it through all four quarters of Sunday’s game. RB Frank Gore will be the only SF offense this week, and he figures to generate a lot of it against a poor Raiders rushing defense.
Start: RB Gore
Sit: QB Smith, WR Crabtree
NY Jets: I think we can officially declare that RB LaDainian Tomlinson is back. LT put up 94 yards against a great run defense last week and should have a big game this week as well. Ray Rice put up huge numbers against this reeling Broncos defense last week and I expect the trend to continue. QB Mark Sanchez had two big games earlier in the season, but has come back down to earth, and while I expect him to get TE Dustin Keller and WR Braylon Edwards involved. I don’t think there will be a ton of offense for them, or much left for WR Santonio Holmes. RB Shonn Greene is probably worth a start in this game, as well.
Start: RB Tomlinson
Sit: WR Holmes
Denver: QB Kyle Orton proved last week that he doesn’t care who he’s playing, he’s just going to throw the ball, especially with no running game. RB Knowshon Moreno is STILL hurting and RBs Correll Buckhalter and Laurence Maroney proved, yet again, that they are worthless. Orton hit WR Brandon Lloyd for a couple long strikes last week, but don’t look for the same production from Lloyd this week on Revis Island. I like WRs Jabar Gaffney and Eddie Royal much better.
Start: WR Gaffney, WR Royal
Sit: All RBs, WR Lloyd
Dallas: QB Tony Romo has gotten it going this season, but his team just isn’t cooperating. Romo is a fantasy stud and is worth a start every week, as is WR Miles Austin, but I truly don’t see much else here. Minnesota still has a really good defense, and I’m still not sold on Dallas’ running game. I think this game has 17-13 written all over it, so I’d be cautious.
Start: QB Romo, WR Austin
Sit: All RBs, WR Roy Williams
Minnesota: QB Brett Favre is hurting and said he may sit to heal his elbow, but we all know how big his ego is, and he’s not sitting out. Expect his play to suffer, but look for him to try to force the ball to WR Randy Moss. I think Moss will have a fair day, as will RB Adrian Peterson, but I don’t think WR Percy Harvin will duplicate his big day from last week.
Start: RB Peterson, WR Moss
Sit: QB Favre, WR Harvin
Indianapolis: QB Peyton Manning is coming off a down week, but he always shines in night games. Washington’s bend-but-don’t-break defense will shatter this week, mark my words. WR Reggie Wayne and TE Dallas Clark will figure in most prominently in Indy’s domination, and look for banged up WRs Austin Collie and Pierre Garcon to have decent games if they do end up playing. RB Joseph Addai is still hurt, and may not even play, so RB Mike Hart is a good bye week replacement if Addai is out.
Start: QB Manning, WR Wayne, TE Clark
Sit: RB Addai
Washington: I’m still not impressed with QB Donovan McNabb. He missed high on a LOT of passes last week and may be knocked around by Indy’s pass rush. I don’t think McNabb will be able to put much together, relying mostly on short stuff to TE Chris Cooley, so don’t look for big numbers from him. RB Ryan Torain will get the rock again this week against a much worse run defense and should be able to put up some points. The Colts can’t really stop anyone and I think Torain will be able to take advantage.
Start: RB Torain, TE Cooley
Sit: WR Santana Moss
Tennessee: Jacksonville can’t stop the run or the pass, and QB Vince Young has actually started to look like a quarterback. He is getting his WRs involved and I think Kenny Britt is in for a big game this week. RB Chris Johnson is getting back on track and should also have a big game this week, and WR Nate Washington could contribute as well.
Start: QB Young, RB Johnson, WR Britt
Sit: TE Bo Scaifephotos
Jacksonville: QB David Garrard has strung together a couple impressive performances this season, and may be able to keep it up against a mediocre Tennessee passing defense. I don’t love him this week, but I think he’ll be able to hold his own as a bye week replacement. RB Maurice Jones-Drew still isn’t lighting it up, though, and that could hurt Garrard’s production through the air, but I think Mojo will be able to hold his own this week.
Start: TE Marcedes Lewis
Sit: RB Rashad Jennings
Fantasy Lineup of the Week
QB Phillip Rivers SD
RB Arian Foster HOU
RB LaDainian Tomlinson NYJ
WR Reggie Wayne IND
WR Kenny Britt TEN
WR Hines Ward PIT
TE Antonio Gates SD
K Nate Kaeding SD
D San Diego


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