>Wednesday Lunch: Big 12 South Preview

Posted: April 7, 2010 in ncaafb
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   Hello everybody, and welcome to this week’s lunch. Today I have a preview of the Big 12 south and the number one player on my top five list, let’s get into it.

Big 12 South

 

Baylor: 4-8 (1-7 conference)

Best Case: Robert Griffin comes back from injury and lights up the country with his Vince Young-esque game breaking skills running and passing the ball. Griffin wins player of the year in the Big 12 and challenges for the Heisman trophy. Kendall Wright and Jay Finley give the Baylor offense more dimensions and they are able to outscore several opponents. They have a cushy non-conference schedule and they don’t play Nebraska so they could win anywhere up to 8 games and make a bowl for the first time in 15 years.

Worst Case: Griffin has a difficult time coming back from his torn ACL and the offense sputters like it did the second half of last year. A team that lost 7 of its last 8 games will continue to lose to the big name schools in the Big 12 South and they won’t be able to squeak by their easier opponents to the north. If they lose a non-conference game early, look for a rough season that could net 3 wins.

 

Oklahoma: 8-5 (5-3 conference)

Best Case: A lot of people said the Sooners had a down year last year, but that’s not the case. They lost their Heisman-trophy winning quarterback in the first game of the season and these were their loses: 1 point to nationally ranked BYU, 1 point at nationally ranked Miami, 3 points to eventual Big 12 champ and National Title game participant Texas, 7 points to an Ndamukong Suh led Nebraska team that almost beat Texas. Texas Tech did blow them out late in the season, but what did they have to play for by then? A healthy Samuel Bradford would have scored at least a touchdown more in each of those games and that would have meant victory. Trust me, I watched all of those games except the Texas Tech one and they could/should have won all of them. This year they should win those tight ones with Landry Jones coming back for a second year and the offensive line and receivers having another year with each other. I could see them going undefeated and getting back to the National Title game with Jones or running back Demarco Murray as possible Heisman candidates.

Worst Case: They continue to lose the close games and games against Florida State and at Cincinnati trip them up early and they lose confidence down the road. I can see 8 wins as a poor season for this bunch.

 

Oklahoma State: 9-4 (6-2 conference)

Best Case: This team lost so many playmakers on both sides of the ball that I don’t really know what to expect. I think they should get to a bowl game, but I’m not totally sure.

Worst Case: Obviously, they could have a very poor season because of the loses of Dez Bryant, Zac Robinson, Russell Okung, and Kendall Hunter. Possibly 3 or 4 wins.

 

Texas: 13-1 (8-0 conference)

Best Case: If you watched the National Championship game you know that Texas has found its Quarterback of the future in Garrett Gilbert. He almost brought Texas all the way back from a seemingly insurmountable deficit against a ferocious Alabama defense with no running game. Although he won’t have Jordan Shipley to throw the ball to anymore, a young group of wide receivers started to emerge at the end of last year. I see a new dedication to the running game and a soft non-conference schedule helping the Longhorns on their way to a Big 12 championship and possible repeat appearance in the final game of the year.

Worst Case: Let’s be honest, Garrett Gilbert did lead the Horns back against Alabama, but he looked terrible before he did, and terrible at the end, so let’s not anoint him the next great quarterback yet (like I did in the previous paragraph. Whatever.) Without Shipley he may slump a little this year and the running backs have been simply atrocious the past few years. If the defense suffers too much from losing Sergio Kindle, I could see 8 or 9 wins and no conference championship game visit.

 

Texas A&M: 6-7 (3-5 conference)

Best Case: The tandem of Jerrod Johnson at quarterback and Christine Michael (yep, that’s a dude named Christine, but he could probably kick my ass since he plays Division 1 football, so that’s all I’ll say) at running back could form half of a lethal offense that jump-starts a wheezing A&M program. They have another pillow soft schedule that should build confidence for their run through the Big 12. A down year from a few conference members could springboard this team to 8 or 9 wins and a possible shocking upset of Texas.

Worst Case: They’re Texas A&M, they’ll probably find a way to lose to Florida International while their fans wonder what happened to all their history (ummmm, you never really had that much history to begin with, Bear Bryant left before he was famous and you’re lucky to have one Heisman winner, no one cares about you). 3 wins and home again are a possibility.

 

Texas Tech: 9-4 (5-3 conference)

Best Case: Steven Sheffield picks up where he left off form a year ago and Tommy Tubberville brings a more balanced personality to the coaching side of things. Tubberville (I just love using his name) said he will keep the same offense and that’s good news for this team that plays Texas early, Oklahoma late, and not a lot else. I could see 10 wins and sneaking into the Big 12 title game as a major leap forward for this program.

Worst Case: Like Texas A&M, they’re Texas Tech and they’ll most likely lose to Texas and Oklahoma. If they struggle against a few of their non-conference opponents and struggle to adjust to a coach that’s not obsessed with pirates they could struggle to win 7 or 8 games, but I think they should get to bowl yet again.

 

Now it’s time for the conclusion of my first top five list, the top five most exciting players of my lifetime. To recap, Michael Vick was number five, Steve “At least I didn’t fumble that much in college” Slaton and Pat White were number four, Trindon Holliday slipped in at number three, and Vincent Young was number two. Now it’s time for number one.

  1. Reggie Bush- Because this is my top five list, I will refrain from bringing up some of his shortcomings but I will instead tell you why he was the most exciting player of my lifetime, and possibly ever. Reggie Bush came into college with a fair amount of hype, and by his sophomore season, he was justifying the hoopla, and more (that’s right, I said hoopla (is it just me, or have I been using parenthesis too much this article? Anyways…)). He was invited to the Heisman ceremony at the end of that year strictly because of his game-breaking ability and by the time his junior season got underway, fans all over the nation were drooling at a chance to see Bush in action. To keep it brief, he didn’t disappoint. Bush had highlight reel moves and plays every single game and his performance against Fresno State that year was the single greatest overall game someone has ever had that didn’t mean shit because no one was watching. His star has started to fade a little because of his disappearance against Texas and his subsequent flopping in the NFL, but he will always remain a star in the eyes of college football fans.

That’s all the time I have for this week’s lunch, join me next week as I break down the Big 12 North and unveil a new top five list.

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